Preseason Rankings
Maryland Eastern Shore
Mid-Eastern
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-13.6#341
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.0#310
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-7.4#337
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-6.2#338
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.3% 6.7% 2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 8.1% 28.0% 7.9%
.500 or above in Conference 48.9% 81.1% 48.5%
Conference Champion 4.2% 11.8% 4.1%
Last Place in Conference 8.6% 3.8% 8.7%
First Four2.2% 2.8% 2.2%
First Round0.8% 5.3% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgetown (Away) - 1.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.60.0 - 1.6
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.50.0 - 3.1
Quad 20.0 - 2.20.1 - 5.3
Quad 30.4 - 4.40.5 - 9.8
Quad 48.7 - 10.19.1 - 19.9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 69   @ Georgetown L 61-82 1%    
  Nov 10, 2018 38   @ North Carolina St. L 63-87 1%    
  Nov 13, 2018 333   Longwood L 67-69 53%    
  Nov 17, 2018 132   @ North Texas L 60-76 4%    
  Nov 20, 2018 272   @ Mercer L 62-70 18%    
  Nov 27, 2018 31   @ St. John's L 58-83 1%    
  Nov 30, 2018 239   Delaware L 62-71 29%    
  Dec 02, 2018 290   @ East Carolina L 65-72 20%    
  Dec 13, 2018 182   @ Duquesne L 61-74 9%    
  Dec 15, 2018 167   @ Pittsburgh L 58-71 8%    
  Dec 20, 2018 194   @ Winthrop L 66-78 10%    
  Dec 22, 2018 242   @ American L 62-71 15%    
  Dec 28, 2018 20   @ Virginia Tech L 58-85 0.4%   
  Jan 05, 2019 339   @ Morgan St. L 68-69 36%    
  Jan 07, 2019 305   Howard L 70-75 41%    
  Jan 12, 2019 302   NC Central L 61-67 41%    
  Jan 14, 2019 347   N.C. A&T W 70-69 64%    
  Jan 19, 2019 352   @ Florida A&M W 68-64 54%    
  Jan 21, 2019 299   @ Bethune-Cookman L 73-79 22%    
  Jan 26, 2019 277   @ Norfolk St. L 66-73 19%    
  Jan 28, 2019 305   @ Howard L 70-75 24%    
  Feb 02, 2019 348   South Carolina St. W 72-70 66%    
  Feb 04, 2019 353   Savannah St. W 82-78 72%    
  Feb 09, 2019 302   @ NC Central L 61-67 24%    
  Feb 11, 2019 347   @ N.C. A&T W 70-69 43%    
  Feb 16, 2019 345   Coppin St. W 66-65 63%    
  Feb 23, 2019 351   @ Delaware St. W 67-64 51%    
  Mar 04, 2019 339   Morgan St. L 68-69 56%    
  Mar 07, 2019 351   Delaware St. W 67-64 68%    
Projected Record 9.1 - 19.9 7.4 - 8.6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1 4.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 2.3 2.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 6.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.1 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.3 3.9 1.2 0.1 9.0 4th
5th 0.4 3.4 5.1 1.5 0.1 10.4 5th
6th 0.3 2.8 5.8 2.1 0.1 11.0 6th
7th 0.1 2.3 5.5 2.7 0.2 10.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 5.0 3.4 0.4 10.1 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 4.3 3.8 0.6 0.0 9.8 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 3.3 3.3 0.9 0.0 8.6 10th
11th 0.1 0.8 2.4 2.7 0.8 0.0 6.9 11th
12th 0.2 1.0 1.6 1.5 0.4 0.1 4.8 12th
Total 0.2 1.1 2.5 4.9 7.6 10.0 12.2 12.7 12.8 11.3 9.4 7.0 4.3 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 99.9% 0.4    0.4 0.1
14-2 84.9% 0.9    0.6 0.3 0.0
13-3 54.4% 1.4    0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0
12-4 21.6% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0
11-5 5.4% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 4.2% 4.2 2.0 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 57.1% 57.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
15-1 0.4% 39.0% 39.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 0.3
14-2 1.1% 38.1% 38.1% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.7
13-3 2.5% 21.6% 21.6% 16.0 0.6 2.0
12-4 4.3% 10.0% 10.0% 16.0 0.4 3.9
11-5 7.0% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.3 6.7
10-6 9.4% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.2 9.1
9-7 11.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 11.2
8-8 12.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 12.7
7-9 12.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.7
6-10 12.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.2
5-11 10.0% 10.0
4-12 7.6% 7.6
3-13 4.9% 4.9
2-14 2.5% 2.5
1-15 1.1% 1.1
0-16 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2
Total 100% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 2.3 97.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1% 0.4% 16.0 0.4